“It’s sometimes said that modern science spends too much time on the documentation of a new trend and too little time on the replication of old ones. A new paper published Wednesday in the open-access journal Science Advances is important just because it does the latter. In fact, it sheds light on the scientific process in action—and also reveals how climate-change denialists can muddy that process.
Here’s the big takeaway from the new study: Across the planet, the ocean surface has been warming at a relatively steady clip over the past 50 years.
This warming trend shows up whether the ocean is measured by buoy, by satellite, or by autonomous floating drone. It also shows up in the global temperature dataset created and maintained by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
In fact, the warming shows up in both datasets in essentially the same way. This is important because it confirms the integrity of the NOAA dataset—and adds further evidence to the argument that ocean temperatures have steadily warmed this century without a significant slowdown.
“Our results essentially confirm that NOAA got it right,” says Zeke Hausfather, a researcher and economist at the University of California Berkeley. “They weren’t cooking the books. They weren’t bowing to any political pressure to find results that show extra warming. They were a bunch of scientists trying their hardest to work with messy data.””
Ref: “Assessing recent warming using instrumentally homogeneous sea surface temperature records” [ http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/3/1/e1601207 ]
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